Tuesday
Aug212007
The Myth of a Consensus
Tuesday, August 21, 2007 at 08:43AM "One has only to cut away the alarmist rhetoric and the media distractions, one has only to focus on the central question in the climate-change debate, and at once the fact that there is no scientific consensus about climate change is laid bare.
The central question is this: By how much will global temperature increase in response to any foreseeable increase in the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide? On that question, the 'climate-sensitivity question', there is no consensus whatsoever within the scientific community. There is no scientific basis for the current panic."
Lord Christopher Monckton, international authority on climate-change policy.
Reader Comments (12)
Global Warming is not melting Polar Ice Caps
The sea has a vast reserve of water which is capable of absorbing the
heat of the Sun without change in its temperature. Sun’s radiation
penetrates a long distance down in the water and the heat is absorbed
into a very big mass of water. In places where there are algae or
plankton as a mixed layer, its depth makes some difference.
Observations of sea surface temperature (SST) where there was ocean
mixed layer (OML) at 5 feet below surface showed a day night
temperature difference of 1.5 degrees centigrade. But when the OML was
50 feet deep, the temperature difference was only just 0.1 degree!
The Oceans hold 1.3 billion cubic kilometers of water. Physics has
given us a way to calculate the rise of temperature of water knowing
its mass, specific heat and the amount of heat input.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has reported that the
effect of greenhouse gases on global warming is 1.6 watts per sq.
meter which works out to a heat input of 800TW on the surface area of
500 Tera sq. meters for the whole planet. This heat input for the
whole year without considering the night-time radiation from the sea
surface, can only raise the temperature of the sea by ½ degree over a
period of 111 years! It is therefore impossible for the global warming
arising out of the greenhouse gases to warm the sea enough to melt the
polar ice caps from underneath.
eMaya the expert on Climate Change, suspects that it is more
likely caused by undersea volcanic activity. You can read how she
plans to stop global warming in the book ‘eMaya’ at www.trafford.com/08-0434
Increase Albedo Effect as suggested by Prof. Stephan Salter:
The Earth is being heated by the Sun every day. Almost 174,000
Terawatts of energy hits the Earth. One Terawatt is equal to one
million megawatts! So the Sun is heating the Earth with 174 billion
megawatts of energy! Of this, about 30% is reflected back due to the
white reflectivity of the Earth which is known in science as the
albedo effect. So the net energy absorbed by the Earth is 122
Terawatts.
If so much energy is being absorbed by the Earth, it should
continue to heat up and its temperature must continue to rise
constantly. Within days the temp should surpass the maximum that any
life could bear. All life would die and the trees whither and char.
But this does not happen. The Earth has its own temperature
stability. Why? Because, at night the Earth radiates the heat absorbed
during the day into deep space. Of the 122 TW that the Earth absorbs
from the Sun, it radiates 121TW back into deep space and the
difference is converted into work for moving the air, the clouds and
the sea currents and tides. Radiation always takes place between two
bodies, the heat going out from the hotter to the cooler body. We can
actually feel this cooling effect at night, but the truth is that it
is happening all 24 hours. The Earth is constantly cooling by
radiating out its energy into deep space. We don’t feel it during day
because the effect of the Sun’s radiation is to annul the cooling and
go on further to warm the Earth. Over the millions of years the Earth
has achieved a balance of its temperature equating the heating by the
Sun and the cooling at night.
eMaya the expert on Climate Change, has analysed the various aspects
in simple and lucid terms.You can read how she plans to stop global
warming in the book ‘eMaya’ at www.trafford.com/08-0434
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