Retreat of the "warmists" under way
Wednesday, September 12, 2007 at 10:57AM Here's a key extract from the excellent Christopher Booker of the Sunday Telegraph on the crumbling world of the GW alarmist in 'Retreat of the warmists begins to accelerate':
Just as we begin to see the colossal price we are being asked to pay for measures to combat climate change, ever more of the evidence adduced to support the global warming scare crumbles away.
A key article of faith for the "warmists" is a supposed increase in the incidence of extreme weather events, such as droughts. As Al Gore claimed to a US Senate committee in March, "droughts are becoming longer and more intense".
But US researchers, led by Gemma Narisma, have now shown that, far from becoming more frequent in recent decades, serious droughts have in fact become rarer than they were a century ago.
In a paper (reported on the website CO2Science.org) they identified the 30 most "severe and persistent" drought episodes of the 20th century.
Seven of these occurred before 1920, seven between 1921 and 1940 and eight between 1941 and 1960, dropping to five between 1961 and 1980.
The last two decades of the century, when the world was supposedly hotting up more than ever, saw just three. The worst drought affecting the developed world was the US Dust Bowl disaster of the mid-1930s.
This corresponds with the recently revised figures for US surface temperatures published by Gore's leading scientific ally, James Hansen of Nasa's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS).
Last month, when Steve McIntyre, an expert statistical analyst, spotted a fundamental flaw in the method Hansen had used to calculate his figures, GISS was forced to publish a new graph, showing that the hottest year of the 20th century was not 1998, as generally accepted, but 1934. Of the 10 hottest years since 1880, four were in the 1930s, only three in the past decade.
This in turn followed the latest satellite figures from the US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration showing how global temperatures in recent years have flattened out at about 0.2 degrees below their 1998 level, and that this summer's figures have been lower than they were in 1983, despite a continuing rise in CO2.
It is clear that 2007 is proving quite a turning point in the climate change debate.
Reader Comments (18)
Actually, I wouldn't agree with a "retreat" perspective. On the contrary; those toting the man-made "Global Warming" position are getting more desperate. In fact, the effort now is to move away from "Global Warming" in favor of the more inclusive "Climate Change."
In addition, the real motivation for pushing the cause is slowly switching over from "saving the planet" to "saving one's personal posterior." These non-profit Carbon Credit firms do not include effective language that would hold them harmless in the event that man-made "Global Warming" turns out to be a farce (which more and more data seems to point out). Corporations pressured into purchasing millions of dollars worth of Carbon Credits are going to have one hellacious Class Action Civil Suit against Carbon Credit Firms. It will make the Tobacco Suits look like a picnic. In addition, folks such as Al Gore, "Dr." Hansen, and the like are going to be named as defendents as well...as would the United Nations etc...
So as the facts truly roll in...don't expect the Church of Global Warming to reliquish themselves to the real truth...because it would far too inconvenient to their portfolios...not to mention the obvious Criminal Indictments that could accompany financial ruin (fraud, larceny et al.).
Cheers,
JR
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